CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2014-03-30T12:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5046/-1
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----
Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-04-03T00:00Z
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
:Issued: 2014 Mar 31 0909 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# The M2.1 flare originating from NOAA AR 2017 peaking at 11:55 UT on March 30, was associated with a partial halo CME, first visible in the LASCO C2 field of view at 12:24 UT. The CME had an angular width of about 170 degrees and a speed of around 500 km/s (as determined by the CACTUS software). Although the bulk of the CME mass was expelled in NorthWest direction of the Sun-Earth line, an equatorial component was present. A glancing blow from this partial halo CME is possible and can be expected early on April 3. #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# :Issued: 2014 Mar 30 1412 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# There was an M2.1 flare (as reported by SWPC, a gap in GOES X-ray data makes it look like a C-class flare, there is no PROBA2-LYRA data available yet to compare) produced by NOAA AR 2017 with peak at 11:55 UT. There are clear dimmings and type II and III radio bursts associated with it, making the presence of a CME highly likely (no coronagraph data yet), with a possible Earth-directed component. More information to come as data new become available. #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 62.85 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-03-31T09:09Z
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers.
If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.
Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement